Strategic Patience of the Resistance Axis is an Illusion… Samir Geagea’s Strategic Patience is a Reality
By: Charles Jabbour – Al Massira
The resistance axis is one of the most adept at using political propaganda, relying on slogans that mobilize its base, send messages to its adversaries, and exaggerate its capabilities. This is evident in its strategy of brinkmanship, which allows it to avoid direct confrontation that would expose the emptiness of its slogans and false claims. The events of “Al-Aqsa Flood” provided a clear example of the deceptive propaganda about supposed overwhelming power, deterrence, and the ability to annihilate enemies—slogans that ultimately proved to be devoid of real substance.
Among the grand, attractive, and resonant terms used by the resistance axis is its constant talk of “strategic patience,” which Iran claims to practice. It boasts that this patience has enabled it to expand its war-driven revolution across four Arab capitals, asserting that its influence will continue to grow thanks to its “great patience.” However, instead of further expansion, Iran suddenly found itself retreating within its own borders, with its revolution even facing threats at home—especially if it insists on exporting its destabilizing ideology in the Middle East. This suggests that the main goal of this propaganda is to create an illusion of power to reassure its base and deter its adversaries from striking.
Events have shown that the broad concept of “strategic patience” is no different from other propaganda slogans of this axis, which have collapsed in reality—starting with “weaker than a spider’s web” to “eliminating Israel from existence”—all of which have proven to be empty rhetoric. Meanwhile, the true practitioner of “strategic patience,” devoid of empty propaganda, is the leader of the Lebanese Forces, Dr. Samir Geagea.
For years, Geagea was criticized for misreading political transformations, for failing to anticipate changes, and for paying the price for his so-called wrong bets. As if believing in a sovereign, independent Lebanon was a mistake. As if it were necessary to surrender to Assad’s rule over Lebanon. As if political success meant merely adapting to the status quo, even if that meant abandoning the Lebanese people’s right to a state, a constitution, stability, and prosperity.
Lebanon, after the Taif Agreement, entered a phase of local, regional, and international power balances that allowed for the end of the war and the establishment of a real state. However, when the agreement’s implementation was delayed, Lebanon found itself in an entirely different geopolitical reality, ultimately being handed over to Hafez al-Assad. Similarly, just as Saddam Hussein’s invasion of Kuwait led to the Gulf War that altered regional dynamics beyond Lebanon’s ability to resist, and just as the 9/11 attacks led to changes beyond Bashar al-Assad’s ability to maintain his grip on Lebanon, the “Al-Aqsa Flood” operation was also a storm beyond Iran’s ability to maintain its influence in the region, especially in Lebanon.
Despite these storms, Geagea’s “strategic patience” never wavered. He remained steadfast in his principles, refusing to accept the imposed realities of either Assad or Khamenei. His patience was rooted in a historical belief that time moves in one direction, toward freedom and progress, and that peoples cannot be indefinitely subdued—especially those that refuse to surrender and fight for their rightful place in the world.
Geagea, often criticized for his refusal to acknowledge the so-called “political realities,” understood that true leadership is not about submission but about resistance. Just as he refused to accept Palestinian dominance over Lebanon during the war, and later Assad’s dominance during and after the war, he also rejected Hezbollah’s armed control over Lebanon and refused to normalize its influence—despite accusations that he was misreading the new reality of an Iran-backed regional order under American cover. He remained committed to a vision where no state can truly function under the shadow of an armed militia that monopolizes war decisions and undermines national sovereignty.
True “strategic patience” belongs to the one who has upheld his position for five decades against regional forces—from the Palestinian revolution and its foreign backers, to the Assad regime and its regional influence, to Hezbollah and its Iranian support. The course of events has proven Geagea right: he never yielded, never compromised, never wavered. He was even willing to sacrifice his freedom, preferring imprisonment over being a witness to Lebanon’s subjugation.
In the end, why did the “strategic patience” of the Lebanese Forces triumph over that of the resistance axis? The answer is simple: because the patience of the Lebanese Forces aligns with human values, life, the future, and freedom.
La Patience Stratégique de l’Axe de la Résistance est une Illusion… La Patience Stratégique de Samir Geagea est une Réalité
Par : Charles Jabbour – Al Massira
L’axe de la résistance est l’un des plus habiles à utiliser la propagande politique, en s’appuyant sur des slogans qui mobilisent sa base, envoient des messages à ses adversaires et exagèrent ses capacités. Cette stratégie de tension lui permet d’éviter les confrontations directes qui mettraient en évidence l’inconsistance de ses slogans et le caractère mensonger de ses prétentions. Les événements de « Déluge d’Al-Aqsa » ont fourni un exemple clair de cette propagande trompeuse, qui prétend à une puissance absolue, à la terreur et à la dissuasion, mais qui s’est avérée vide de tout contenu réel.
Parmi les termes grandiloquents et accrocheurs utilisés par l’axe de la résistance, on trouve son discours permanent sur la « patience stratégique » de l’Iran. Il affirme que cette patience lui a permis d’étendre sa révolution guerrière dans quatre capitales arabes et que son influence continuera de croître grâce à cette « grande patience ». Pourtant, au lieu de s’étendre, l’Iran s’est soudainement retrouvé à se replier sur ses propres frontières, sa révolution étant même menacée chez lui, surtout s’il persiste à vouloir exporter son idéologie déstabilisatrice au Moyen-Orient.
Les événements ont montré que ce concept de « patience stratégique » n’est pas différent des autres slogans propagandistes de cet axe, qui se sont écroulés sur le terrain – depuis « plus faible qu’une toile d’araignée » jusqu’à « l’élimination d’Israël », en passant par ses prétentions à la dissuasion et à la terreur. En revanche, celui qui incarne réellement la « patience stratégique », sans propagande creuse ni slogans vides, c’est le chef des Forces Libanaises, Dr Samir Geagea.
Pendant des années, Geagea a été critiqué pour sa prétendue mauvaise lecture des évolutions politiques. Comme si croire en un Liban souverain et indépendant était une erreur. Comme s’il fallait se résigner à la domination d’Assad sur le Liban.
Cependant, malgré les tempêtes géopolitiques successives – de l’occupation syrienne au projet hégémonique iranien via le Hezbollah – la « patience stratégique » de Geagea ne s’est jamais démentie. Il est resté fidèle à ses principes, convaincu que l’histoire suit une direction inévitable vers la liberté et la souveraineté.
Pourquoi la « patience stratégique » des Forces Libanaises a-t-elle triomphé de celle de l’axe de la résistance ? Parce qu’elle est en phase avec les aspirations humaines, la vie, l’avenir et la liberté.